Climate Change Alarmists Have a Point
Michael K. Spencer
Humans could perish in 31 years, according to One Australian Think Tank.
What are the economic and civil unrest costs of global warming? Don’t think 2 degrees, think 4 degrees warming type scenarios.
Perhaps you saw this in the news too. A recent chilling Australian policy paper outlining a doomsday scenario if climate catastrophe is not dealt with suggests that, by 2050, there could be irreversible damage.
Damage so severe that global climate systems could create a cascade effect in a world of chaos where political panic is the norm and humans are on a path facing the end of civilization.
We don’t take our environment seriously. The world’s actions are evidence of that enough. But what about our children and the world they will inherit? What if 4 degree changes really do create some symptoms of dystopia?
So this report in USA Today wasn’t from non-scientist alarmists but from alarmed scientists. The experts say that the worst thing about it is that it is actually a fairly calm and rational look at just how bad things could get if greenhouse gas emissions into the environment are not curbed within a short time. We know (in 2020s) that they probably won’t be curbed.So think about the world we know and imagine what could actually happen.
The paper was written by an independent think tank in Australia called Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration situated in Melbourne. It offers a scenario for 2050 in a world where carbon emissions were not lowered enough to keep the global temperature from rising.
Last year’s United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report said the world’s nations must quickly reduce fossil fuel use to keep the rise in global temperatures below 1.5°C. But everyone knows this is outrageously conservative.
The Australian report imagines a world where that did not happen and global temperatures warmed by 3°C or even more. I personally think even that is conservative for the 21st century, much more likely closer to 4 degrees.
Anyways among these people 3°C by 2100 is a pretty middle-of-the-road estimate. It is not extreme and it is totally believable if serious action is not taken.
So want do you tell your kids? Global greenhouse gas emissions likely peak in 2030 and begin to fall due to a drop in fossil fuel use, but the damage has been done and warming reaches 3°C. So that’s a different world, as we can see already with forest fires and super storms in 2019. Now multiply that by many factors and add in climate migrants and a significantly higher global population.
So by that 2050 date? Globally, 55% of the population lives in areas subject to more than 20 days of lethal heat a year, beyond the human threshold of survivability. People are doing to die, and it will just be the new normal.
North America will continue to suffer from devastating weather extremes, including wildfires, heat waves, droughts and flooding. But just much worse and more frequent.
Two billion people globally are affected by lack of water. Food production falls by one-fifth as droughts, heat waves, flooding and storms affect crops. Up to 1 billion people could be displaced. That’s a lot of bodies and a lot of chaos.
Even slight rises of the ocean could lead to some cities becoming inhabitable. And here is the panic button. Rising ocean levels make some of the world’s most populous cities uninhabitable, including Mumbai, Jakarta, Canton, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Lagos, Bangkok and Manila. Billions of people must be relocated.
I don’t think you can actually imagine that world. A world where rising droughts leads to rising food shortages and people clamor to get help all over the world on a more consistent basis. A world of climate change uncertainty and the huge economic cost of global warming — not to mention just the lower quality of our lives that this impacts.
In a worst case scenario, those 3 or 4 degrees lead to changes in society that pressure our ability to adapt and survive, leading to a chain reaction of events that puts millions of lives at risk.